EUR/USD Price Forecast: Eyes nine-day EMA barrier after rebounding from 1.1600

Bearish (-0.3)Impact: Medium

Published on March 6, 2026 (4 hours ago) · By Vibe Trader

The EUR/USD currency pair rebounded from the 1.1600 level and is currently trading around 1.1620 during the Asian hours on Friday, following modest losses in the previous session [1]. Technical analysis indicates a continued bearish bias, as the pair remains within a descending channel pattern and holds below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the flattening 50-day EMA group [1]. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 35, which is below the 50 midline, signaling persistent bearish pressure rather than an oversold condition [1].

On the downside, EUR/USD may test the seven-month low at 1.1468, with further support at the lower boundary of the descending channel near 1.1440 [1]. Resistance levels are identified at the nine-day EMA of 1.1686, the 50-day EMA at 1.1753, and the upper boundary of the descending channel at 1.1790 [1]. A breakout above the descending channel could shift the bias to bullish, potentially targeting the 1.2082 level, which is the highest since June 2021 [1].

The Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar today, showing a 0.10% gain, according to the provided currency heat map [1]. This performance is notable as it contrasts with the ongoing bearish technical setup, suggesting some short-term strength despite the broader downward trend [1].

No forward-looking statements or analyst opinions beyond technical analysis are provided in the source article [1].

CONCLUSION

EUR/USD has rebounded from 1.1600 and is trading around 1.1620, but technical indicators point to a continued bearish bias. Despite this, the Euro showed a 0.10% gain against the US Dollar today. The market remains cautious, with downside targets at 1.1468 and resistance at 1.1686, as traders watch for a potential breakout from the descending channel.

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