Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD loses ground to near $84.50 on strong US Dollar

Bearish (-0.3)Impact: Medium

Published on March 13, 2026 (3 hours ago) · By Vibe Trader

Silver price (XAG/USD) declined to around $83.60 during early European trading hours on Friday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar [1]. The drop in silver prices comes amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which traders are closely monitoring for potential market impacts [1]. The release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report for January is anticipated later on Friday and is expected to be a key event for market participants [1].

Geopolitical escalation continues in the Middle East, with US President Donald Trump emphasizing the importance of preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons and threatening the region, stating it is “of far greater interest and importance to me” than the cost of oil [1]. Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, announced intentions to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed and suggested Tehran could open other fronts in the conflict if US and Israeli attacks persist [1].

Military strikes by the US and Israel on Iran in late February have resulted in the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market, causing surging crude oil prices and increasing inflation risks [1]. As a result, markets have pushed back expectations for US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts from July to September, which could further strengthen the US Dollar and weigh on USD-denominated commodities like silver [1].

The article notes that silver, while less popular than gold, is considered a safe-haven asset and is often used by investors to diversify portfolios or hedge against inflation [1]. Silver prices are influenced by factors such as geopolitical instability, US Dollar strength, interest rates, investment demand, mining supply, and industrial demand, particularly in electronics and solar energy sectors [1].

CONCLUSION

Silver prices have declined to $83.60, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Surging oil prices and inflation risks have led markets to delay expectations for US Federal Reserve rate cuts, further weighing on silver. The market is closely watching upcoming US economic data and ongoing geopolitical developments for further direction.

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