One year after Trump’s sovereignty threats, Canadians keep ‘elbows up’

Bearish (-0.7)Impact: High

Published on March 7, 2026 (4 hours ago) · By Vibe Trader

Canadians have initiated a widespread boycott of American goods and travel in response to U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs and repeated calls for Canada to become the 51st U.S. state, as evidenced by the 'Elbows Up' protest held at Nathan Phillips Square in Toronto on March 22, 2025 [1]. Individuals like Lisa Mcbean have shifted their purchasing habits, opting for Canadian-made products and canceling trips to the U.S., reflecting a broader trend across the country [1]. This movement, which began in early 2025, has evolved into a new social and economic order, impacting consumer behavior, travel, and even voting patterns among Canada's population of 41 million [1].

Polling conducted by Leger, a Montreal-based service, indicates that Canadians remain adamant about not supporting the U.S. in any capacity, with Steve Mossop noting the surprising steadfastness of this sentiment [1]. Economists warn that the longstanding trade relationship between the two countries is now 'skating on thin ice,' as the percentage of Canada's imports from the U.S. reached record lows in 2025, excluding the pandemic period [1]. Canada was the second-largest U.S. trade partner in 2025, according to Census Bureau data, but the shift in consumer behavior is undermining this relationship [1].

A Bank of Canada analysis released last month found that Canadians began moving their food purchases away from the U.S. starting in early 2025, with domestic brands gaining wallet share as retailers and liquor stores promoted Canadian products [1]. Central bank researchers described this as a structural change in the national economy, directly resulting from heightened trade tensions, and suggested it could impact Canada's inflation and the composition of its gross domestic product [1].

Market implications are significant, as policymakers on both sides of the border are considering the economic effects of this shift. The altered behavior is expected to persist, with polling suggesting no imminent reversal [1].

CONCLUSION

The Canadian boycott of American goods and travel, triggered by U.S. tariffs and sovereignty threats, has led to a structural shift in Canada's economy and trade patterns. Economists and central bank researchers warn of lasting impacts on inflation and GDP, with polling indicating Canadians' resistance is likely to continue. The market impact is high, as the longstanding U.S.-Canada trade relationship faces unprecedented strain.

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